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Ray Dalio on the Global Debt Crisis and Interest Rate Outlook – 08/16/2025

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Hosts John Berkley and Todd Berkley delve into Ray Dalio’s influential book, “The Changing World Order,” and his critical insights. The primary focus is Dalio’s warning about the unprecedented global debt crisis impacting federal, personal, and corporate sectors, and its potential for severe consequences.
The conversation explores the complex dynamics of interest rates, with John predicting that despite potential Federal Reserve short-rate cuts, long-term rates and mortgage rates may actually increase due to a booming economy and growing deficits. Todd explains how the US dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency uniquely allows the U.S. to borrow at lower rates, but emphasizes the increasing risk associated with long-term debt.
They discuss the historical cycles of empires and financial systems, prompting listeners to consider strategies for wealth accumulation versus wealth preservation. The episode stresses the importance of discipline, mentorship, and educated decision-making in navigating today’s intricate economic landscape.

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